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微信红包群二维码快乐十分开奖结果

?Source: the main conclusion of the research on Guoxin fixed income is that sinc微信红包群二维码快乐十分开奖结果 e 2113, the interest margin between domestic private enterprise industrial debt and local state-owned industrial debt has experienced three complete cycles (wave peak to wave peak cycle), which is currently in the upward range of the latest cycle. We investigate and compare the periodic changes of private industrial debt and local state-owned industrial debt, credit derivative and industrial enterprise profit growth respectively. We find that: (2) in most periods, domestic credit derivative cycle is ahead of industrial enterprise profit growth cycle, leading time is about 2-3 months. From the perspective of the latest cycle, the peak inflection point of credit derivative cycle is about 2 months ahead of the peak inflection point of industrial enterprise profit growth cycle. It is expected that the bottom inflection point of credit derivative cycle will also lead the bottom inflection point of industrial enterprise profit growth cycle in this cycle. (2) the downward range of the credit derivative cycle generally corresponds to the upward range of the interest margin cycle, and the turning point of the credit derivative cycle is about 1-22 months ahead of the turning point of the interest margin cycle. From the perspective of the latest cycle, the peak inflection point of the credit derivative cycle is about 3 months ahead of the trough inflection point of the spread cycle. It is expected that in this cycle, the bottom inflection point of the credit derivative cycle will also lead the top inflection point of the spread cycle. (3) since 2112, in most cases, the turning point of industrial enterprise profit growth cycle is about 1-3 months ahead of the turning point of interest margin cycle. From the perspective of the latest cycle, the peak turning point of industrial enterprise profit growth cycle is about 2 months ahead of the trough turning point of interest margin cycle. It is expected that the bottom turning point of industrial enterprise profit cycle will also lead the top turning point of interest margin cycle in this cycle.

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